Monday, June 6, 2022

Experiment: What the Random Walk Hypothesis Says About Predicting Financial Markets

Experiment: What the Random Walk Hypothesis Says About Predicting Financial Markets


In the many blogs on the internet and the analytical section of our websites, we write a lot about algorithms and tools for predicting movement in the financial markets. At the same time, many observers believe that such activities are akin to playing in a casino - everything is random on the stock exchange, which means nothing can be predicted. A quantitative analyst at NMRQL hedge fund Stuart Reid published the results of a study on the Turing Finance website, during which he used the random walk hypothesis, trying to confirm or refute the thesis about the randomness of financial markets. We present to your attention the main ideas of this material.

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 As Reed writes, hackers and traders are essentially doing the same thing—they find inefficiencies in the system and exploit them. The only difference is that some, pursuing a variety of goals, hack computers, networks, or even people, while the latter hack financial markets and their goal is to make a profit.

 In this context, the topic of random number generators is very interesting - they are used to encrypt data and communications, but if a vulnerability is found in the generator, it ceases to be protected, and hackers can use the error to decrypt information. There are various sets of tests that such generators must pass in order to evaluate their cryptographic strength. One such set is the NIST test group. In this article, we will look at applying these tests to financial strategies to see if the market can be hacked.

 Random Walk Hypothesis

In the real world, many systems exhibit properties of randomness. For example, the spread of epidemics like Ebola, the behavior of cosmic radiation, the movement of particles in water, luck while playing roulette, and, according to the random walk hypothesis, even the movement of financial markets.

 Consider an interesting test conducted by Princeton University economics professor Burton G. Malkiel. In its course, students were "issued" a hypothetical stock, which initially cost $50. The closing price for this stock was determined each day by a coin toss. If it came up heads, the price was half a point higher, and if it came tails, it was half a point lower. Thus, each time the chance of the value rising or falling compared to the previous "trading day" was 50%. Thus, price cycles and trends were determined.

 Subsequently, Malkiel visualized the results using charts and showed them to “chartists,” that is, specialists who predicted future price movements based on their past fluctuation patterns. The Chartists advised him to buy shares immediately. But since this stock did not exist, and its price was determined by the toss of a coin, there were no real patterns, and therefore there could not be a trend. The result of the experiment allowed Malkiel to argue that the stock market is as random as a coin toss.

 It's like the " financial Turing test "”, during which people familiar with the financial market are invited to look at the time series chart and determine which of them is real market data, which is a simulation using random processes:

 

Experiment: What the Random Walk Hypothesis Says About Predicting Financial Markets

Is this a real market?

 

Experiment: What the Random Walk Hypothesis Says About Predicting Financial Markets

And is it random?

 

Experiment: What the Random Walk Hypothesis Says About Predicting Financial Markets

Or is there no difference at all?

 It's pretty hard to determine. It is observations like these that led many researchers in the field of financial markets to think about how to find out how random the behavior of stocks on the stock exchange really is. The theory that prices move randomly is called the random walk hypothesis.

 Many of the researchers have done tests like Malkiel's experiment, but they don't actually prove that the stock market develops by chance. They only prove that for the human eye, in the absence of additional information, real price movements cannot be distinguished from random ones.

 There are drawbacks to the hypothesis itself:

1. It considers different markets as a homogeneous environment, not taking into account the differences between them.

2.  It does not explain the many empirical examples in which people have consistently won in the market.

3.  It is based on a statistical definition of randomness, not an algorithmic one. And this means that the hypothesis does not distinguish between local and global randomness, does not take into account the concept of the relativity of randomness.

And yet, whether one likes it or not, it is undeniable that the widespread use of the random walk hypothesis among quantitative analysts in the stock market as a whole has had a major impact on how various financial instruments, such as derivatives or structured products.


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Saturday, August 29, 2015

How to Abide by the Pet Rules in Your Lease

How to Abide by the Pet Rules in Your Lease
As a person who has been renting for many years, I can tell you that each and every lease can be very different. The laws can vary depending on what state you live in, and what rules are put into your lease. When you have pets, things can sometimes get a little more complicated. There are several things you will want to keep in mind when you rent and you plan on having pets, or you already have them. In some instances there are a few things that are sometimes overlooked when it comes to pet rules, so keep reading below to find out what they are. The last thing you want is to have an eviction notice on your door, because of a simple mistake.

Loopholes in your lease

Do you know the fine print that is sometimes found on the bottom of your lease? Or perhaps you just did not take the time to read all 32 pages of your lease, because it just seemed like too much. Be careful because this is the area of the lease that usually contains those little loopholes in reference to pets. Some are very specific as to what type of pet you can have, and even how big of a pet you can have. Some are even breed specific. The lease may also indicate that you can not replace the pet, with another pet. It may seem like common sense when it comes to loopholes in the lease but you would be surprised at how many people actually miss something, simply because they failed to read it carefully.

Visiting pets

In today's society it is not unusual to find many families who tend to humanize their pets. Sometimes feeling as if they need to schedule play dates for them. The one thing you don't want to do is suddenly have your house full of your friend's pets, such as dogs in your home. This can easily cause the landlord to get upset and feel that you have taken advantage of the lease agreement.

Clean up after all pets

I have seen that in some instances individuals allow others to bring their pets over, and they do not clean up after their pets. I have also seen tenants who fail to clean up after their own pets. This may seem like something small and simple, but you would be surprised at how many people fail to obey the terms of the lease and find themselves evicted.

Document all verbal changes

It may seem minor but if your landlord agrees to allow you to get a replacement pet, be sure that the terms are in writing. You will want to have a document that shows the changes in your lease, and be sure that it is dated. You don't need to hire an attorney to do this, but just have them write down everything they agreed to and both of your sign it. It may help to have a witness present that is a neutral third party and have them sign it as well. This will help you to avoid having any problems in the future if the landlord suddenly forgets what they have agreed to.

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Why You Should Add Pumpkin to Your Pet's Diet

Why You Should Add Pumpkin to Your Pet's Diet
Like us, it's not uncommon for dogs and cats to have bouts of diarrhea and constipation. There's a variety of causes for both. As long as it doesn't last for long periods of time, it's not something to be concerned about. You should watch your pet while he's having a bowel movement, because it's a good way to see early warning signs of illness. Adding pumpkin to your pet's diet can help counter episodes of diarrhea or constipation. I freeze pumpkin in ice cube trays and store them in a zip-lock bag because one of my dogs likes to eat his pumpkin frozen.
The intestinal system works in an amazing way to move waste from the body. If the intestinal lining becomes irritated or inflamed, the body flushes the culprit out in the form of diarrhea. A problem in the upper digestive tract comes out as vomit and as diarrhea in the lower tract. Excess water in stools causes them to become loose, which hurries along the process of getting the irritant out. 
Constipation is a hard, firm stool that requires straining to get it out. Dehydrated pets, older pets, and dogs that have enlarged prostates commonly suffer from constipation. When solid waste sits in the colon too long the stools can become dried out, making it harder to eliminate which can put some pets at risk of developing megacolon, a chronic condition where the large intestine is stretched to the point where it is no longer able to efficiently do its job. This is more common in cats than dogs. 

Causes of diarrhea 

Diarrhea can be a result of pica, eating garbage, spoiled food, toxic plants or poison. A change in diet, internal parasites, giardia, or coccidia, an allergic reaction, viral or bacterial infection, stress, kidney or liver disease, inflammatory bowel disease, food allergies, tumors or cancer in the digestive tract, or pancreatitis. Bouts of diarrhea are more common in dogs and cats than constipation.

Causes of constipation 

The most common cause of constipation is not drinking enough water or getting enough fiber in their diet. But it can also be due to an obstruction in the colon, a pelvic cavity problem, or a tumor in the abdomen. Ingesting foreign objects (pica) or pieces of bone can become lodged in the bowel and prevent elimination. Male dogs that haven't been neutered can develop an enlarged prostate, making it harder for them to go. Neutering your dog can help with constipation problems. Hernias and other medical issues, lack of muscle tone, infected anal glands, hip or pelvic injury, iron supplements, stress, and some medications can cause constipation.

Provide plenty of fresh clean water daily 

Cats get most of their daily intake of water from their food and may need encouragement to drink water. Not getting enough water puts felines at risk of becoming dehydrated during summer and winter months, and increases the risk of developing crystals in the urinary tract that can block the flow of urine, or bladder infections. How much water your cat needs depends on her normal diet, activity level, and hot weather. If she eats mainly dry food, she needs to drink more water. Felines prefer fresh clean water, so you may need to freshen her water bowl throughout the day. Pet water fountains can also encourage cats to drink more because the water is in motion instead of sitting still. Adding canned food to a dog or cat's dry kibbles ups the moisture content, which helps prevent constipation and other possible issues with the digestive or urinary tract. How much water your dog needs depends on his size, activity level, normal diet, and hot weather. During heat spells or increased activity more water intake is needed. Daily exercise can help to keep pets regular.

When it's time to be concerned about diarrhea or constipation 

Most bouts of diarrhea or constipation will clear up on its own in a day or two. But if either one lasts longer than a couple of days or goes away only to return a short time later, it's time to be concerned and consult with your vet. There may be something more serious going on that needs to be dealt with. If you suspect a foreign object or bone could be causing an obstruction, don't wait to see if a bowel issue will clear up on its own. Call your vet immediately.

Why you should add pumpkin to your pet's diet 

Pumpkin is a natural way to add fiber to your pet's diet to clear up diarrhea and constipation, and most dogs and cats like it. The fiber softens stools of a constipated pet and absorbs excess water in the digestive tract to combat diarrhea to make firmer stools. Plain canned pumpkin (do not use canned pumpkin with nutmeg or other spices used to make pumpkin pies) or steamed fresh pumpkin is safe for pets to eat. Never use a Halloween pumpkin that's been carved. It has toxic bacteria and mold that could harm pets. If pumpkin isn't available, cooked squash is a good alternative. Pumpkin adds beta-carotene, potassium, iron, vitamins, iron, and zinc to your pet's diet, and fiber helps the body feel full which promotes weight loss in an overweight pet because they don't have to eat as much to feel satisfied. However, talk with your vet before putting your pet on a diet. Too much pumpkin can cause diarrhea or constipation, so introduce it slowly to give your pet's body time to adjust to the extra fiber in their diet. Dogs and cats under 15 pounds can have 1-2 teaspoons daily, pets 15-35 pounds can have 1-2 tablespoons, and dogs over 35 pounds can have 2-3 tablespoons each day. The amount of pumpkin should be in proportion to their size. If your pet becomes constipated, reduce the amount of pumpkin you're giving him.

How to Fix Cooking Mistakes: Common Errors and Uncommon Disasters

How to Fix Cooking Mistakes: Common Errors and Uncommon Disasters
Bad things happen to good cooks. Actually, the reverse is true as well: good things happen to bad cooks. That's what happened to me when I was first starting out on the kitchen. But what is a good thing? Actually, for me, the most learning and the best dishes came from my mistakes. Whenever I cooked, whether due to accident or whimsey, I would inevitably make an irreparable deviation from a recipe and be left with a dish that needed salvaging. So I would experiment when fixing cooking mistakes, and sometimes end up with a final result that was even better (or at least more interesting) than what I had been trying to make. Sure, sometimes it was a soggy and inedible mess, but I learned from that too. That's how I learned to cook independently. Being forced to go off-recipe like that taught me the rules of being creative in the kitchen, and I learned to break them all too. From fixing cooking mistakes creatively I learned not only how to salvage a dish, but to create entirely new ones as well.
So you have a dish that went wrong. What do you do? Here are a few tricks that will help to fix a dish gone wrong.

Common Cooking Mistakes: 


There are a few mistakes that just about every cook makes at one point or another. Luckily, fixing cooking mistakes like these are pretty easy. Here's how: 

  • Too spicy? Add something sweet (honey, sugar, or even fruit works well in some dishes) or some dairy (sour cream, cream cheese, yogurt, cream, and cheese are all perfect).
  • Too salty? The only thing to really do is add more ingredients. One option is adding liquid like water, stock (not salted), or milk/cream in some cases. Another is to add starchy ingredients like potatoes or grains. I also like tossing in some new vegetables (eggplant seems to work particularly well).
  • Too sweet? Adding some acid (like lemon juice or vinegar) is the easiest way. If it's a simple dish though, I like to experiment by adding another ingredient, which both dilutes the sweetness and transforms it into an entirely new dish.
  • Too Soggy? Most of the time this is because the pan is too crowded. Try taking half of the ingredients out and either cooking in batches or using two pans.

Fixing Dishes (By Making New Dishes): 

Some dishes are pretty straightforwards to fix. Others require a little bit of creativity to fix, but don't worry--this is what makes fixing cooking mistakes fun! Here are some ideas to get you started.

Bread.
  • Make croutons. Cut into chunks and cook in a little oil. Add some spices if you wish.
  • Make french toast. "Pain perdu," or "Lost bread" in French, this dish was invented for stale or otherwise botched breads. A little egg, milk and maple syrup will make a scrumptious meal out of it!
  • Make stuffing. Stuffing is good on its own and with a whole array of other dishes, and the best thing is that disappointing bread can be used to create marvelous results with this recipe.
  • Make bread pudding. Bread pudding is rich, sweet and thick. Whatever is wrong with your bread won't do much to change that, and you'll have a killer dessert out of it.
Soups.
  • Make it a sauce. If the liquid is okay and the whole ingredients are not (if they're overcooked, for example) pour the liquid into a pan and add a thickener like cornstarch.
  • Saute it up! If the whole ingredients are fine and the liquid is not (over-spiced, for example), dispose of the liquid and and cook it in a frying pan, adding other ingredients to freshen it up and give it substance. Bean soups, meat soups, and chicken noodle soups are particularly good for this. Particularly effective if you add it to rice.
  • Make it a gravey. If there is some other problem, but it is still salvagable (say, the taste is okay in moderation), cook up some veggies and pour the soup in (you may want to dispose of some of the liquid first).

Baked desserts.

  • Cut and flip. The most basic cake-saving action. If it's too broken on top, just slice over the top with a serrated knife and turn it over, making the bottom into the top.
  • Turn it into a trifle or parfait. Layer the broken pieces with fresh fruit and whipped cream and let chill in the fridge.
  • Make it a crumble topping. Cookies, bars and even dense or overcooked brownies make a delicious crumble topping for ice cream and other desserts.
  • Make it a crust or base. Many baked goods can be crumbled or smushed into the bottom of a pie dish to make a sort of crust. After that, add whatever fits your fancy--custard, fruit, pie filling... anything is possible!

Vegetables.

  • Make soup. Try pureeing them and adding a little cream to make a "Cream of this or that" soup, or keep them whole and throw in some broth and potatoes to dissolve the flavor.
  • Make a mix. Mixing them with foods like rice, pasta, or potatoes is a good way to disperse the flavor or texture while still eating the fruits of your labor.
  • Make a sandwich, burrito, or wrap. The vegetables will play a part in the overal flavor and texture, but not enormously so.

Meat.

  • Make a sandwich or a burger. This is especially helpful of your meat turned out dry or tasteless. You can smother it with barbecue sauce or mustard, mayo and ketchup, and add some coleslaw or other toppings to give a fresh flavor.
  • Make it meat AND something. If meat was the main component, consider making it a part of something new. Pair it with rice, noodles or veggies to make a stir fry, stroganoff, casserole, chili, or whatever else you fancy.

Beans.

  • Make chili. Mushy, over-seasoned, or even burned beans can be transformed into a great chili with some canned tomatoes, stock, onions, and whatever else you fancy (veggies and meat are both great additions). Try adding some sour cream and cheese at the end, which really reduces any remnants of the "accidental" flavor.
  • Make bean burgers. A few spices, an onion and a little creativity can turn a botched bean dish into a yummy vegetarian burger. Serve as you would any burger, with plenty of toppings and condiments in a hearty bun.

Pasta

  • Make a casserole. Smother it with cheese and add flavorful, dispersing foods like tomatoes. A sauce with sour cream or cream cheese can also do a lot to make a milder flavor. 
  • Make a frittata. Use pasta as one of the main components alongside some vegetables, cheese and even meat. 
  • Potato pasta salad. The potatoes will provide some body to the dish and the dairy will help to smother whatever un-tastey flavor was there.
Remember, when you are fixing kitchen mistakes you are like an elite disaster-management specialist. You have the tools and the knowledge, but every situation is different and it's your sharp eye and gut feeling you must rely on. Remember to make it a game and have fun. Good luck!

source:
Best Starting

How to Frost a Cake

How to Frost a Cake
Should be simple enough - bake a cake and spread some flavored icing between the layers and on top. How hard can that be? Harder that one might think. To get a crumb-free, even application of frosting that will help keep the cake moist and increase the eye-appeal and yum factor of the cake, use these tips on how to frost a cake.

Let it Cool 

Be patient and allow the cake to cool completely before attempting to frost it. The freshly baked cake will fill the air with a mouth-watering aroma and it's difficult to be wait, but trying to frost a warm cake will leave you will a crumbly mess. If you're in a hurry, turn the cake out of the baking pans onto a platter and place layers into the freezer for a few minutes to help speed up the cooling process. Cake layers can be covered and frozen for frosting and eating at a later date.

No Crumbs 

Once the cake layers have completely cooled, brush away the crumbs with a pastry brush before assembling the layers. Spread a thin layer of frosting (about ½ a cup) on top of the first layer, then carefully place the second layer on top and spread another half-cup of frosting over the top. Repeat with any additional cake layers. 
Now spread a 'crumb coat' of frosting around the sides and over the top of the cake. The crumb coat is a thin layer of frosting that will keep crumbs out of the top layer of frosting. The crumb coat does not have to be perfect, it just needs to cover the entire cake. Allow cake to set for 30 minutes after being crumb-coated before adding the final layer of frosting.

Finish Line 

Now you can add the finishing touches and finally enjoy the homemade cake. Use a spatula or butter knife and generously spread the remaining frosting on top and sides of cake layers. Apply the final frosting layer neatly and evenly at first pass, then go back for a second pass with the spatula or butter knife to add decorative swirls. A lazy-susan turn table makes quick and easy work of frosting a round cake.

YUM-YUM…My Go-to Recipe for Any Event

 YUM-YUM…My Go-to Recipe for Any Event
Every family has that one recipe that everyone looks forward to at family events. In my family, we love love love YUM-YUM!! This is my favorite, along with the rest of my family. It's an amazing lemon flavored dessert that everyone will love. You can even switch it up and turn it into a chocolate dessert if you'd like! Not to mention, it's totally easy to make.
This recipe was passed down to me from my Great Auntie Vel, and after eating it at family events my whole life, I decided that I absolutely must have this recipe so I could make this delicious dessert whenever I got the craving.
For the first layer, all you need is:
1 1/2 cups of flour
1 1/2 cubes of margarine
1/3 cup of chopped nuts
Mix everything together and press into a 13 x 9 pyrex dish, then bake at 325 degrees for about 25 minutes.
Next, for the second layer, you will need:
1 large package of cream cheese (whipped works best)
1 cup of powdered sugar
1/2 tub of Cool Whip (12 ounce size)
Beat the sugar into the cream cheese, add Cool Whip and then pour this on top of the cooled crust layer.
Next, for the third layer, you will need:
3 small packages of lemon instant pudding mix
4 cups of cold milk
Beat all of these ingredients together for about one minute, pour on top of the cheese layer and cool until set.
Lastly, spread the remaining 1/2 tub of Cool Whip on top of the pudding layer and sprinkle nuts on top if desired and refrigerate.
And here you have YUM-YUM!! Also, for all you chocolate addicts out there, you can substitute 2 packages of chocolate and 1 package of vanilla pudding.
Enjoy!

source:
Best Starting

How to Bake the Best Vanilla Bean Cheesecake

 How to Bake the Best Vanilla Bean Cheesecake
My family and I have always really loved cheesecake, but because I seldom bake, I questioned my ability to recreate the sweet treat at home. However, a friend offered me her recipe, and after tweaking it to make it my own, here is my go-to recipe for New York-Style Vanilla Bean Cheesecake.
Ingredients for Crust:
1-1/2 cups Graham Cracker Crumbs 

1/4 cup Walnuts (finely chopped) 
2 tablespoons melted butter

Ingredients for Filling:
3- 8 ounce packages Cream Cheese 

1-1/3 cups Sugar 
5 Large Eggs 
10 ounces Sour Cream 
3 heaping tablespoons Flour 
2 Vanilla Beans, seeded 
2 teaspoons Almond Extract 
2 teaspoons Lemon Juice

Directions for Preparing the Crust:
Place the graham cracker crumbs and walnuts in a large bowl. Pour melted butter into the bowl and stir with a large spoon. Once the ingredients are combined, grease a 9-inch springform pan, then dust lightly with flour. Place the crust mixture inside the springform pan, pressing it firmly to the bottom of the pan, then lining the side of the pan at least halfway up the sides, if possible. Then, set aside.
Directions For Filling:
These ingredients should all be at room temperature before you begin.
Start by placing the cream cheese in an oversized mixing bowl. Using an electric mixer, beat the cream cheese until its texture becomes very light and fluffy.
Next, pour about half the sugar into the mixing bowl, continuing to mix on low speed. Once the first portion is mixed in well, add the second half of the sugar and continue beating.
Add eggs to the mixture, one at a time, beating until the mixture appears creamy.
Next, add in the flour, almond extract, lemon juice. You can opt for all-purpose flour, but finely ground oat flour works really well, too. Beat until creamy.
Split the vanilla bean down the center, then use a butter knife to remove its seeds. Add to the mixture.
Finally, add in the sour cream, continuing to beat on low speed until the entire mixture is creamy and well-blended.
Pour this filling into the springform pan.
Preheat the oven to 325 degrees. Place cheesecake into preheated oven, in the center and on the top rack. Also, place another pan filled with water on the lower shelf (this provides moisture while the cheesecake is baking and helps prevent unsightly splitting during baking). Bake for one hour and 15 minutes.
At the end of the baking time, turn the oven off, but do not remove the cheesecake yet. Instead, prop the oven door open and let it sit inside the oven for an hour.
Afterward, remove from the oven, but allow the cheesecake to cool. (This will take hours). Once cool, place inside refrigerator for at least 24 hours before serving. This allows the ingredients to meld, greatly enhancing the flavor.
When ready to serve, simply garnish with your favorite toppings, such as strawberries, bananas, caramel, whipped topping, etc. Enjoy!

source:
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The Best and Easiest Baked Macaroni and Cheese Recipe

The Best and Easiest Baked Macaroni and Cheese Recipe
Macaroni and cheese tastes really good when baked in the oven. Here's a recipe that blends boxed deluxe macaroni and cheese with other ingredients and then baked in the oven to create a meal that will keep you wanting more.
When it comes to boxed macaroni and cheese Kraft is one of the best well-known brands. I prefer Kraft over other brands for this recipe and I base it off of Kraft's official Super Cheesy Baked Macaroni & Cheese recipe, this makes it a semi-homemade recipe.

Ingredients:

  • 1 Box of Deluxe Macaroni and Cheese
  • 1 Cup Milk
  • 1/2 Cup of Shredded Mozzarella Cheese
  • 1/2 Cup of Shredded Cheddar Cheese
  • 1/2 Cup of Frozen Peas
  • Bite-Sized Cooked Pieces of Ham (As much as you desire)

Directions:

  1. Make the box of deluxe macaroni and cheese as instructed on the box in large sauce pan. 
  2. Add the milk, all of the mozzarella cheese, and half of the cheddar cheese. Stir until it's all well blended. 
  3. Next cut up cooked ham into bit sized pieces (this can be deli lunch meat ham or ham right off the bone) and stir it in. 
  4. Now take the entire mixture and pour it into a large oven-safe casserole bowl.
  5. Sprinkle the rest of the cheddar cheese on top of the whole mixture and then put in the oven at 375 degrees F for about 20 minutes.

Other Information About This Recipe:


This recipe is an all-in-one meal so you don't have to worry about making any side dishes to go with it. It's also best served warm. You can try different combinations as well such as bacon instead of ham or green beans instead of peas.

source:
Best Starting

Best Secret Recipe: Chocolate Kahlua Cake

Chocolate Kahlua Cake
Before becoming a mom to twin boys, just about everything I baked was from "scratch". Cake mix was rarely found in my pantry, and I believe the recipients of my baked goods benefitted from the taste and creativity of my baking. I could certainly tell the difference and I enjoyed trying new recipes and baking for others to enjoy as well. Even so, I have one stand-by recipe that I used then (the reason cake mix may have been found in my pantry) and especially now-when baking time is much harder to find, or rather, almost non-existent. Some nights, I am lucky to get dinner on the table. 
This recipe makes preparing something for guests to our home, the neighborhood cookout or the office party feasible. You would think it were from "scratch." I get requests for it time and time again and it has become a favorite among those who have tried it. The drawback is that I hate to give out the recipe because it is suddenly obvious what little effort it actually took to make! So now I share it with you so you too can look fabulous when you arrive at your next event with this delicious, moist cake in-hand. Enjoy!
Chocolate Kahlua Cake
1 package regular chocolate cake mix (I use Duncan Hines)
1 box vanilla instant pudding
2 cups sour cream (can use fat free, if you wish)
4 eggs (can use egg beaters)
¾ cup oil
¾ cup Kahlua liquor
1 cup chocolate chips (I love the Ghirardelli dark chocolate chips)
Mix all ingredients. Bake in a well-greased bundt pan at 375 degrees for 1 hour. Test with a toothpick or skewer.
Sprinkle with powdered sugar once cake has cooled completely. For a special touch, pick a small/short bouquet of flowers to place in the center of the bundt cake. Gorgeous & delicious!

source:
Best Starting

How to Make Crepes With Ingredients You've Already Got

How to Make Crepes With Ingredients You've Already Got
You don't have to master the art of French cooking in order to make crepes. For all the glitter and glam that's usually added to the dish, crepes are essentially made with four ingredients: flour, egg, milk and butter. If you've got that stuff on hand, you've got what you need to make amazing crepes.

Mixing the Batter

It's easy to find simple crepe batter recipes online, and you should play around with your batter until you find one that has the right taste and consistency for you. But you need roughly 2 cups of liquid to 1 cup of dry ingredient (flour). Add enough egg and milk to get a runny batter with the consistency of heavy cream or whole milk. You can add a little water to the batter if it's too thick. Stir the batter thoroughly with a fork for at least 2 minutes. This will remove clumps and help to aerate the batter, which keeps crepes from tasting dense.

Cooking the Crepes

Melt butter in a pan over a low heat just before you want to cook your crepes. Once the pan is hot enough to melt the butter, it's hot enough to cook the crepes. If the butter begins to scorch and stick to the pan, turn down the heat.
Slowly pour crepe batter directly into the hot pan, just enough to barely cover the bottom of the pan. Crepes are meant to be thin. Once the batter is poured, wait about 1 minute and the crepe should be ready to flip. Starting at the edge, gently lift the crepe with a spatula. Moving in a circle, work around the perimeter of the crepe. Once the edges are loosened, gently work the spatula toward the center of the crepe so it can be flipped over. Allow it to cook for another minute on the flip side, and remove it from heat.

Make them Fancy

You can't have good crepes without a filling, but you may not have the time or will to stand in the kitchen slicing fruit. Crepes are just as delicious when filled with ordinary jelly, whatever you have in the fridge. Place a teaspoon of jelly in the center of the crepe. Either fold it in half or roll it up to serve.
To put your crepes over the top, drizzle a little syrup or powdered sugar (or both) right on the top. The beauty of crepes is their versatility. Sprinkle them with cinnamon and sugar, cover them in whipped cream, serve them hot or cold. Once you know how to make the batter and you use the technique, you can experiment with your crepes all you want.

Living Off the Land - Eating Deer Liver

Living Off the Land - Eating Deer Liver
Living off the land means learning to use everything the land provides. One food source you may be overlooking is the liver from deer you harvest. Deer liver has a mild flavor and is very good for you. Many people believe the best source of any liver is from free ranging, grass fed animals. On my land, whitetail deer are the only deer species I have available to hunt which meets that criteria. However, any deer species is a perfectly acceptable source for liver.

Deer liver from non-commercially raised deer is free from any growth hormones or chemical additives. Moreover, fresh deer liver has no preservatives added to preserve the meat while it is packed, transported, and displayed in the market awaiting sale. By contrast, when you consume a liver from a captive animal raised commercially you could be ingesting unwanted antibiotics or other chemicals.

Deer liver is a nutritional powerhouse. 

Dr. Joseph Mercola, a physician and best selling author of several books, raves about the nutritional benefits of eating liver. Like any other liver, deer liver is a nutritional powerhouse densely packed with vitamins and minerals, including preformed Vitamin A, the B vitamins, and iron. The Weston A. Price Foundation reports on an early scientific study which suggests there is a possible element in liver which is an anti-fatigue factor. 

Obtaining deer liver is easy.

Many hunters routinely discard their deer liver and will gladly give it to anyone who might want it. If you hunt and want to harvest the deer liver yourself here is how to do it. To harvest the deer liver without disturbing the other internal organs, hang the deer with it's head up. Then cut a horizontal slit across the chest cavity immediately below the rib cage. The liver will be located on top of the stomach and other internal organs. It will be attached just below the backbone of a deer right below the diaphragm at the bottom of the rib cage.
The deer liver is a dark brownish red colored organ usually a little larger than the size of both your hands held together. Do not confuse the liver with the spleen. The spleen is a much smaller organ and more grayish in color. If in doubt, cut into the liver. The exposed meat will have a firm, solid texture and be a very dark reddish black color. The spleen is a medium brown color and not solidly textured. The spleen is not edible.
Grasping the liver firmly, simply cut the membranes holding the deer liver to the body and sever the connecting tube at the base of the liver. Immediately ice down the liver or refrigerate it. You can see where the liver is positioned inside a deer carcass here.

Processing the deer liver. 

To prepare deer liver for the table, soak it in salt water for a few hours. Then wash the liver repeatedly under running water while squeezing the liver like a sponge. Removing as much blood from the liver as possible will greatly improve its taste. Discard any membrane or connective tissue also.
If you don't want to cook the entire liver at once, simply wrap or bag in portions and freeze. There are several ways to prepare liver but I enjoy liver that is thinly sliced and stir fried in olive oil with strips of bell peppers and onions. Served over rice, this dish makes a complete meal which is both filling and healthy.
So, why not consider adding deer liver from harvested wild game to your diet. I believe you will be glad you did!

Friday, August 28, 2015

Top 5 Baking Essentials for All Bakers

Top 5 Baking Essentials for All Bakers
Baking has always been a pastime of mine. It started young when my mother would let me sit on the counter and add ingredients to the cake batter or stir the homemade cream pies. My love for baking, and baked goods, grew through the years as my grandmother taught me how to bake from scratch and often with ingredients from her backyard garden. When I moved out on my own and married, I started to come up with my own versions of cakes and cookies and still do to this day.
There are thousands of baking utensils and gadgets on the market, but after over three decades of baking, I have compiled a list of the 5 most important baking essentials that are necessary in my kitchen.

Stand Mixer

I was gifted a Kitchen Aid Stand Mixer at my first wedding in 1998 and fell instantly in love. I would purposely make meals that allowed me to use my new stand mixer. It made mixing batters, whipping frostings, and adding ingredients while mixing a breeze. Unfortunately, the mixer and I parted ways when the relationship ended and I desired a replacement for years. In 2006, I was gifted a red Kenmore Stand Mixer, and I shed a tear. I had a new stand mixer back in my life. Once again I was whipping up glazes, meringues, and using the pasta attachment for homemade raviolis. The only difference I see between the two brands (other than price) is that my Kenmore uses bowls that sometimes catch fallen dry ingredients in the ridge around the bottom. Nothing a silicone scrapper can't fix.

Stoneware

I was first introduced to stoneware baking sheets through Pampered Chef when a friend hosted a party. Everyone in attendance boasted about how wonderful they were and I tasted a pizza made on the large bar pan during the demonstration. The crust was flakey and delicious and I was sold. I purchased the large bar pan as well as the round pizza stone and have never looked back. More than 5 years later, my large bar pan is black from use and still producing the best baked cookies. The bottoms never burn to the bottom and I have not had a need to parchment paper either. The stone heats up evenly so you never end up with a few cookies with burnt bottoms and a few with soggy middles. The only downside is that the pan must be hand washed without soap, but the little bit of extra work is worth it.

Silicone scrappers

I was unsure of this handy utensil when I first saw them. I was conducting a secret shopper survey for Le Creuset at Colorado Mills Mall in Denver, Colorado. I decided to give them a try as they were on special and the sales lady raved about them. I have never looked back. The large scrapper made quick work of removing batter from the metal bowl of my stand mixer. The medium scrapper worked wonders when removing the last bit of peanut butter from the jar, and the tiny scrapper iced cupcakes with ease. The wooden handles are removable and the silicone can be washed in the dishwasher. The silicone can stand heats up to 500 degrees which makes them useful for scrapping the sides of a pan of barbeque chicken. I have tried other brands including Pampered Chef and generic grocery store brands, but I always go back to Le Creuset.

Silicone Hot pads

Family and friends know about my love of baking and cooking as I receive another kitchen themed gift in 2008 that included silicone hot pads. I was very wary of these at first. A thin slice of silicone that could stand heat up to 500 degrees didn't seem plausible to me. I first tried them out by using them as trivets on my cooktop. I then placed them on the counter and set a hot cake pan on them and my counters were unscathed. So I held on in my hand and lifted the hot cake pan. I didn't feel heat and my hands remained unburned. They become my favorite hot pads and eventually replaced my oven mitts as well. It is now six years later and I still have and use the original pair almost daily. They have held up to the heat and remain in excellent condition.

Offset Spatula

Another one of my Pampered Chef discoveries was the offset spatula (called the small spreader ). It looks like a small non-serrated butter knife that is angled out of a small handle. It was introduced to me as a great way ice cupcakes and to remove baked bars out of a small casserole dish. I only recently learned from the chef in the house that it is called an offset spatula and it is an essential in my kitchen. Besides frosting cupcakes, I use it to flip small pancakes on the griddle, remove hot bacon from the grease, and to even the cake batter before baking. The cost is minimal for all the use you will get out of it. 

Helpful Tips for Baking in High Elevation Areas

 Helpful Tips for Baking in High Elevation Areas
Living in a high-altitude area that is well above sea level can be a great thing for an outdoor enthusiast, but for someone who frequently bakes, it can be a curse. Most recipes for baking are written for people who live at sea level, so if you live in an area with high altitude (3000-3500 above sea level), you will want to modify your baking recipes to ensure that they come out right. Whether you are using a box mix, or baking from scratch, you will still want to modify all your recipes. Modifying these baking recipes can seem like a daunting task, but really all you need to do is some basic math!
Here are some helpful tips to remember:
Increase Baking Temperature - Foods take longer to bake in high altitude, so bake time and temperature may need to be increased. A good rule of thumb is to increase the oven temperature by 25 degrees.
Do Some Basic Math - Change the proportion of ingredients in the recipe. You may need to increase or decrease some of the basic ingredients in your recipe to ensure that it will come out right.
Boiling Over - Water boils at a lower temperature in high altitude than it does at sea level. This is because the air pressure is lower at high elevations. Adding some salt to the water will help the water to boil at a higher temperature.
Use More Liquid! Moisture evaporates faster at high sea levels. The amounts of sugar, flour, liquids, and other baking ingredients may need to be changed to prevent a batter that is too doughy, liquidy, or dry. In high elevation, you should always add more liquid if necessary.
High Altitude = Dry Food - Baked goods will dry out much faster and go stale in high altitude, so keep your leftover goodies in a nice sealed container! Also, use the right kind of baking pan when baking, and be sure to grease it or spray it with non-stick spray before you put it in the oven.
Quick-rising Dough - Doughs rises faster in high altitudes, so ingredients such as baking soda and baking powder may need to be decreased. Watch your dough carefully, as it may not take as long to rise as you may expect.
If you are a cooking fanatic that lives above sea level, don't fret! It may take a little more work to get a recipe just right, but doing some simple modifications to your baking will ensure that your treats come out tasty!